Updates on 2nd and 3rd waves by Government Panel

The second wave of covid likely to end by July and the third wave could be seen in 6-8 months.

A panel of three members Professor Mahindra Aggarwal from IIT Kanpur; M. Vidhyasagar, a scientist involved in the Sutra Model and K. VijayRaghavan, Principal Scientific Advisor spoke on the second and third waves of Covid in India.

The second wave of Covid in India is likely to decline by July this year. According to them, by the end of May India is expected to see 1.5 lakh cases per day. They have further predicted that by the end of July the cases could go down to 20,000 per day. These predictions are based on SUTRA- Susceptible, Undetected, Tested and Removed approach. It is a mathematical model that helps to project the trajectory of Covid-19.

Speaking of the third wave, Mr. Vidhyasagar told that if the vaccination drive is not ramped up and the right behavior to fight covid is not maintained there could be a third wave 6-8 months later. However he also mentioned that the SUTRA model has not predicted any third wave and it is being worked on.